Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001131 0.001170 0.001210 0.001253 0.001299 0.001347 0.001400
2025-08-24 0.001048 0.001104 0.001162 0.001229 0.001302 0.001381 0.001472
2025-08-31 0.001008 0.001078 0.001153 0.001241 0.001341 0.001453 0.001588
2025-09-07 0.000969 0.001049 0.001137 0.001242 0.001366 0.001507 0.001685
2025-09-14 0.000930 0.001016 0.001113 0.001231 0.001372 0.001539 0.001756
2025-09-21 0.000893 0.000984 0.001087 0.001215 0.001372 0.001561 0.001813
2025-09-28 0.000865 0.000960 0.001069 0.001207 0.001378 0.001590 0.001880
2025-10-05 0.000826 0.000920 0.001031 0.001171 0.001348 0.001570 0.001881
2025-10-12 0.000804 0.000901 0.001015 0.001162 0.001351 0.001592 0.001938
2025-10-19 0.000789 0.000889 0.001008 0.001163 0.001366 0.001630 0.002017
2025-10-26 0.000770 0.000872 0.000994 0.001154 0.001366 0.001648 0.002069
2025-11-02 0.000758 0.000862 0.000989 0.001157 0.001382 0.001686 0.002154
2025-11-09 0.000742 0.000848 0.000977 0.001151 0.001386 0.001710 0.002220
2025-11-16 0.000725 0.000832 0.000963 0.001140 0.001384 0.001724 0.002272
2025-11-23 0.000721 0.000831 0.000968 0.001156 0.001419 0.001793 0.002416
2025-11-30 0.000711 0.000824 0.000965 0.001160 0.001436 0.001838 0.002525
2025-12-07 0.000697 0.000810 0.000952 0.001150 0.001435 0.001853 0.002584
2025-12-14 0.000682 0.000795 0.000937 0.001137 0.001426 0.001857 0.002624
2025-12-21 0.000670 0.000783 0.000927 0.001130 0.001426 0.001874 0.002689
2025-12-28 0.000649 0.000759 0.000899 0.001098 0.001389 0.001830 0.002637
2026-01-04 0.000639 0.000749 0.000889 0.001091 0.001387 0.001843 0.002694
2026-01-11 0.000632 0.000743 0.000886 0.001091 0.001398 0.001877 0.002792
2026-01-18 0.000622 0.000733 0.000876 0.001083 0.001395 0.001887 0.002846